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TAKE-HOME SUPPLEMENTARY ASSESSMENT 2021-22

ECON6021 Microeconomics

Section A

A1 (30 points) Consider the game given by the extensive form below.

Pl 1

(6, 5, 4)


x3    x4


(6, 2, 4)

(6, 2, 0)


(4, 2, 10)    (-1, 6, 8)         (4, 6, 0)

Note that nodes connected by a dashed line constitute an informa- tion set.

(a) Find all pure strategy Nash equilibria of this game.                   [6]

(b) Assume player three plays l with probability γ . For which beliefs      over {x1 , x2 } is it sequentially optimal for player 2 to choose L     when he moves?                                                                     [4]

(c) For which beliefs over {x3 , x4 } is it sequentially optimal to play      l for player 3 when he moves?                                                 [4]

(d) For every pure strategy Nash equilibrium (see part a)), determine      whether it is also a Perfect Bayesian equilibrium.                       [5]

(e) Consider a behavior strategy, where player 1 plays M with prob-     ability ν > 0, T with probability τ > 0 and player 2 plays R     with probability ρ > 0. Which beliefs over {x1 , x2 } (for player     2) and {x3 , x4 } (for player 3) are consistent with this strategy?  [4]

(f) Which of the Perfect Bayesian equilibria from d) are sequen-      tial equilibria?  For each sequentlial equilibrium that you find,      demonstrate directly that it satisfies the definition.                    [7]

Notes:  The term “sequentially optimal” is to be understood as in the definition of a Perfect Bayesian equilibrium.

A2 (25 points) Consider the following 2-person, 2-goods exchange econ-

omy. Consumer 1’s preferences are represented by the function

u (x11 , x2 ) = x1 (x2 )2 ,

and her initial endowment is 10 units of both goods (i.e.   e1   = (10, 10)). Consumer 2’s preferences satisfy

u (x21 , x2 ) = 7(x1 )2x2

and she posseses 5 units of both goods (i.e. e2 = (5, 5)).

(a) What are the Walrasian equilibrium prices?  (You can assume

p >> 0.) What are the Walrasian equilibrium allocations?         [10] (b) Is (are) the allocation(s) you found in the core?                        [5]

Now consider a 3-person, 2-goods economy, where endowments and preferences of consumer 1 and 2 are as above.  Consumer 3 is en- dowed with 20 units of the first good and 10 units of the second good, (i.e. e3 = (20, 10)). Her preferences are given by the function u3 (x1 , x2 ) = 40x1 + 50x2 .

(c) Consider the allocation  that allocates 1  = (8, 12), to con- sumer 1, 2  = (7, 3) to consumer 2 and 3  = (20, 10) to con- sumer 3. Is this allocation in the core? If so, argue why. If not,

demonstrate how a specific coalition can block this allocation.      (Hint:  Consider consumers 2 and 3 to keep the mathematics      simple.)                                                                                 [5]

(d) Find one core allocation. (If you found the allocation from c) is      in the core, find another one.)                                                 [5]

Section B

B1 (15 points) Consider the 2-player game given below.  Player 1 can choose between T and B, player 2 chooses between R and L. The resulting payoffs are given by the table.

1/ 2

L

R

T

20;16

0;18-x

B

18;0

5;10-x

(a) Consider first the case where x = 0 (and this is common knowl-      edge).   Find the set of strategies (pure or mixed) which are      rationalizable, i.e. survive the iterated elimination of strategies      which are never a best response.                                              [4]

(b) Now consider the case where the value of x is unknown to player 1, but known to player 2. Assume that x can take only the values

0 (with probability 1/10) or 12 (with probability 9/10), and this      is commonly known. Write down a corresponding normal form      game that is suitable to find the (Bayes-)Nash equilibria of this      game.   Find all pure strategy (Bayes-)Nash equilibria of this      game.                                                                                    [8]

(c) What kind of game is this?  Which economic applications are      typically analysed with such games?                                         [3]

B2 (15 points) Consider an expected-utility-maximizer with (Bernoulli)

utility function u(z) = a+bz +cz2 +17 and assume z e Z = [0, M] with M > 0.

(a) Under which restrictions on a, b, c is the consumer strictly risk      averse (and u increases in z)? Assume these restrictions hold in      what follows.                                                                          [4]

(b) Now assume z and h are numbers such that h > 0 and z > h. Consider a lottery such that p(z +h) = 1/2 and p(z - h) = 1/2 (and p(z) = 0 for all other z e Z). Show that for the certainty equivalent of this lottery, z(p), it is true that z(p) < Ep , where

Ep  denotes the expectation of this lottery.                                [6]

(c) (When) is it possible that for this consumer absolute risk aver-      sion is decreasing, i.e. rA (z) decreases in z?                             [5]

B3 (15 points) There are two firms (j e {1, 2}) engaging in Cournot quantity competition. Each firm (simultaneously) selects an output quantity yj  > 0. Producing yj  units costs 8yj . Assume that, given the total quantities by the firm are y = y1 +y2 , consumers’ demand and market clearing will imply a price of p(y) = 20 - y . Model this

as a game where the firms are the players, the profits are the payoffs and the strategies are the output levels.

(a) Does the output level 4.6 survive the iterated elimination of

dominated strategies?                                                             [5]

(b) Compute the Nash equilibrium of the game.                             [5]

(c) Which insights about real world problems can be obtained from

analysing Cournot competition?                                               [5]