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FINC6600 Written Assessment Semester 1 2023

Deadline: Friday 19 May (11.59pm Sydney time)

Weight: 30% (Group assignment)

Introduction

Continuing the work developed in the previous 8 weeks, your group is now tasked to develop a pitch deck supporting  a  final  international  portfolio  recommendation.  The  final  portfolio  should  be  a rebalanced version of the one previously submitted as a video presentation and subject to the same constraints we have been working with since the start of the project:

•    10% - 30% of the total funds available (AUD$20 million) in each country

•    Goal of each  local  portfolio  is to outperform the corresponding  benchmark :

, , FTSE100 in Europe, HSCEI in Hong Kong, Nasdaq 100 in US

•    10-15   stocks   should   be   selected   for each local portfolio and taken from the corresponding benchmark

•    No short-selling allowed

•    Investment horizon of one year.

For  the  pitch  deck,  consider  that  your  team  will  be  representing  one  of  the  following  asset management firms (the allocation will be provided by your facilitator):

1.    BlackRock

2.    Vanguard Group

3.    Fidelity Investments

4.    UBS Asset Management

5.    State Street Global Advisors

Hence,  your  group  will  be  pitching  for  the  above  investment  product  (that  is,  the  international portfolio) on behalf of one of the largest asset management firms in the globe that provides you some context in relation to what is expected in the pitch deck.

Pitch deck vs pitch presentation: the difference

Your team has already worked on a slide deck that was presented as part of the video presentation. The pitch deck that will be submitted as part of the written assessment can build on that however will need to be substantially different, though. Why? The reason is that the final pitch deck should be considered as a standalone document that will guide the decision of your client even without a proper stand-up presentation (in the same vein that a business report would). Hence, your final pitch deck must contain much more information as one would expect in a typical slide deck. Check the links below for a few examples of the type of the pitch deck that your group should aspire for:

-      BlackRock 2023 global outlook Q2 update :

https://www.blackrock.com/corporate/literature/whitepaper/bii-global-outlook-in-charts.pdf

-      Fidelity quarterly market update:

https://institutional.fidelity.com/app/popup/item/RD_13569_30073.html#slide0

-      Invesco midyear investment outlook:

https://www.invesco.com/content/dam/invesco/apac/en/pdf/insights/2022/june/invesco-2022- mid-year-investment-outlook-june-2022.pdf

-      HSBC 2022 midyear investment outlook

mid-year-outlook-brochure-2022-retail.pdf

-      Guggenheim macro themes for 2023:

https://www.guggenheiminvestments.com/GuggenheimInvestments/media/PDF/10- Macroeconomic-Themes-for-2023.pdf

As you can notice, the slide decks in the links above are more detailed and contain information allowing to a level that somehow dispense with the need for a presentation per se. We will provide general guidelines and instructions to help you creating the slides.

What goes into your slide deck: contents

Your pitch deck must have the following covered:

1. Executive Summary and Portfolio Recommendation Overview: An overall summary of the presentation and an overview of the final portfolio recommendation.

2. Team and Firm Introduction: A  justification  /   marketing  of  your  allocated  Asset Management Firm. Information relating to the performance of the appropriate business segment of your allocated Asset Management Firm and the skills / expertise of the team members.

3. Market Insights Overview: A   top-down   analysis   of   the   current   macroeconomic environment, from a global perspective down to individual countries, using primary data, with forecasts derived from those same data.

4. Investment Objective & Portfolio Construction: The aim of the fund and the methodology that describes the construction of the portfolio, and the sources of risk the fund seeks to be exposed to and the character of the returns the fund seeks to achieve, along with a time horizon for those aims to be realised.

5. Capital Markets Assumptions: The expected returns and the uncertainty around them for asset classes in and across currency areas, as well as the methodology used to generate them is a key aspect in portfolio construction for live risk situations. Communicating a rigorous process to investors is an essential component of a fund deck.

6. Country Sectoral Portfolio Allocation: Methodology and frameworks adopted for capital allocation across countries such as  Black-Litterman,  Markowitz efficient frontier,   and Treynor-Black, to cite a few. The sectoral exposure for each country should be outlined and  justified   based  on  the   model  and   parameters   used.  Comparison  to   relevant benchmarks should be explored whenever possible.

7. Security Selection: Drivers / methodology used for stock picking for example bottom up fundamental analysis, relative value, management analysis, factor exposures, thematic exposures, and stock selection screens, among others. An outline of the methodology and a justification should be provided. Appropriate justifications may include, where deemed appropriate: industry whitepapers, academic papers, backtests run by the group.

8. Performance and Risks: Performance  of the  portfolios  indexed from the start  of the semester to the most recent date should be shown. Appropriate performance metrics should  be  used,  and  commentary  offered.  A  performance  attribution  decomposition should also be offered and commented on. Factor exposure / style regression can also be used  where  appropriate.  An  appraisal  of  the  alignment  between  fund  objective  and realised risk/returns should be made. The group should consider the impact of the above on the decision to rebalance.

Pitch deck: structure

Your asset management firm requires all Board presentations to follow a common format. Your slide deck  must adhere to the following structure  (with slight variations  being allowed and a maximum of 2,000 words across the slides with 10% tolerance permitted; pitch deck should be submitted as a pdf file; all the slides should be numbered):

1.

Title page

o Includes logos, date, and title.

1

2.

Table of Contents

o Includes all sections in the presentation.

2

3.

Executive Summary and Situation Overview

o Summary of the presentation and key macro views; overview of the investment process and key investment recommendations.

3

4.

Team and Firm Introduction

o Firms track record in this space, AUM, league tables, team introduction.

o The team introduction should contain a photo of each team member and a role/title that is associated with the work done throughout the semester.

4-5

5.

Market Insights

o Charts and team commentary systematically describing recent global and country macro performance, and outlook over the investment horizon.

o Views should be situated relative to I/B/E/S quartiles & consensus.

6-10

6.

Investment Objective & Portfolio Construction

o Fund objective and portfolio construction process.

o Asset universe targeted including index specification.

11

7.

Capital Markets Assumptions

o Expected Returns for currency area indices arising from market views and methodology.

12-16

8.

Country Sectoral Portfolio Allocation

o Target allocation given adjusted CMAs, adjustments to optimisation  frameworks (e.g., Black-Litterman, Treynor-Black, Markowitz efficient frontier) should be outlined and justified.

17- 21

9.

Country Security Selection

o Describe a security selection methodology using one or a combination of the methods including style, thematic investment, or stock selection        screen. Potential use of backtests in justifying the selection proposed.

o Sectoral exposure relative to benchmark should be outlined.

22-26

10.

Performance & Risk

o Analysis the recent performance of the portfolios using, where            appropriate, performance ratios, performance attribution, and factor exposure (among others).

o Analysis of the alignment between the risk realised and the objective should be conducted.

o Rebalancing decision and justification should also appear here.

27-28